Time series analysis using soft computing methods

Abstract The aim of this study is to show that the integration of two soft computing techniques, namely the F-transform and fuzzy tendency modeling, can be successfully used in the analysis and forecasting of time series. The proposed method is based on the two-term additive decomposition of a time series, in which the first term is a low-frequency trend (expressed using direct F-transform components), and the second term is a residual vector that is processed as a stationary time series. A theoretical justification is given, and experiments are included. A practical application that shows the analysis of a time series with economic indicators is demonstrated.