Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation

Preface, Creed and Apology. What it is All About and What Not. The Top Down Approach. A Workbook. Portrait of the Reader as a Young Person. A Brief Outline of the Book. Acknowledgments. And What About Reality? I: THE BARE BONES: BASIC ISSUES EXPLAINED IN THE SIMPLEST CONTEXT. The Epidemic in a Closed Population. Heterogeneity: The Art of Averaging. Dynamics at the Demographic Time Scale. II: STRUCTURED POPULATIONS. The Concept of State. The Basic Reproduction Ratio. And Everything Else... Age Structure. Spatial Spread. Macroparasites. What is Contact? III: THE HARD PART: ELABORATIONS (ALMOST) ALL EXERCISES. Elaborations for Part I. Elaborations for Part II. Appendix A: Stochastic Basic of the Kermack-McKendrick ODE Model. Appendix B: Bibliographic Skeleton. Index.