Recent Trends in U.S. Breast Cancer Incidence, Survival, and Mortality Rates

The decrease in the diagnosis of regional disease in the late 1980s in women over the age of 40 years likely reflects the increased use of mammography earlier in the 1980s. The increase in survival rates, particularly for regional disease, likely reflects improvements in systemic adjuvant therapy. Statistical modeling indicates that the recent drop in breast cancer mortality is too rapid to be explained only by the increased use of mammography; likewise, there has been no equivalent dramatic increase in survival rates that would implicate therapy alone. Thus, indications are that both are involved in the recent rapid decline in breast cancer mortality rates in the United States.