Phenology of Woody Species Along the Climatic Gradient in West Tropical Africa

West tropical Africa (WTA) is known to be one of the most exposed regions in the world to climate change. The seasonality of rainfall and of atmospheric conditions, including a dry season lasting for several months in most of the area, strongly influences vegetation activity (Bourliere & Hadley, 1983; Breman & Kessler, 1995). Indeed, this region was already affected by severe and prolonged droughts in the 1970s-1980s. These events represent one of the major climate variations of the 20th century recorded at the global scale (Giorgi, 2002; Neelin et al., 2006; Redelsperger et al., 2006). The average annual rainfall deficit varied by ± 20% in higher rainfall zones and by 50% in lower rainfall zones. However, while these droughts were relatively uniform over most of WTA, the 1990–2007 period was characterised by a more complex pattern including large spatial variability (Lebel & Ali, 2009). Current projections of global change predict higher temperatures and lower rainfall, although opinions on temperatures are contradictory (Mearns et al., 2001; Haarsma et al., 2005; IPCC, 2007; Funk & Brown, 2009). More frequent extreme events are also expected in some parts of Africa (Hely et al., 2006; Frappart et al., 2009; Lebel & Ali, 2009).