Stochastic Dynamics of Cholera Epidemic Model: Formulation, Analysis and Numerical Simulation

In this paper, we describe the two different stochastic differential equations representing cholera dynamics. The first stochastic differential equation is formulated by introducing the stochasticity to deterministic model by parametric perturbation technique which is a standard technique in stochastic modeling and the second stochastic differential equation is formulated using transition probabilities. We analyse a stochastic model using suitable Lyapunov function and It formula. We state and prove the conditions for global existence, uniqueness of positive solutions, stochastic boundedness, global stability in probability, moment exponential stability, and almost sure convergence. We also carry out numerical simulation using Euler-Maruyama scheme to simulate the sample paths of stochastic differential equations. Our results show that the sample paths are continuous but not differentiable (a property of Wiener process). Also, we compare the numerical simulation results for deterministic and stochastic models. We find that the sample path of s a SI I R B stochastic differential equations model fluctuates within the solution of the s a SI I R B