Measured greenhouse gas budgets challenge emission savings from palm-oil biodiesel

The potential of palm-oil biofuels to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions compared with fossil fuels is increasingly questioned. So far, no measurement-based GHG budgets were available, and plantation age was ignored in Life Cycle Analyses (LCA). Here, we conduct LCA based on measured CO₂, CH₄ and N₂O fluxes in young and mature Indonesian oil palm plantations. CO₂ dominates the on-site GHG budgets. The young plantation is a carbon source (1012 ± 51 gC m^-2 yr^-1), the mature plantation a sink (-754 ± 38 gC m^-2 yr^-1). LCA considering the measured fluxes shows higher GHG emissions for palm-oil biodiesel than traditional LCA assuming carbon neutrality. Plantation rotation-cycle extension and earlier-yielding varieties potentially decrease GHG emissions. Due to the high emissions associated with forest conversion to oil palm, our results indicate that only biodiesel from second rotation-cycle plantations or plantations established on degraded land has the potential for pronounced GHG emission savings.