Study of the Seasonality of Extreme Precipitation Events over the Mediterranean for the Future Period 2081–2100

This study examines extreme precipitation seasonality in the Mediterranean for the future period 2081–2100, based on the climate scenario SSP5-8.5. Using data from the CNRM-CM6-1-HR, the study determines the dates of extreme precipitation events using the circular statistics method. The results indicate that almost 50% of grid points experienced the first extreme event of the year between January and February during the reference period. In the future period, there will be an increase in the percentage of grid points experiencing events during the cold period, meaning that there will be a seasonal shift of extreme events to colder months mainly affecting the west and east Mediterranean.