Consider Carbon Emission Flow Analysis of Power System with Regards to Power Loss and Wind Power Uncertainty

Abstract A method for analyzing the impact of wind power uncertainty and active power loss on carbon emission flow in power systems is proposed. Based on the stochastic power flow calculation of wind power injection, the correlation function between wind power output and the total carbon injection rate into the system is determined. Meanwhile, the reverse power flow method is used to analyze the contribution of each unit to the active power flow in different parts of the system and calculate the corresponding carbon emissions. Under the assumption that wind power fluctuations are borne by balancing units, this method combines a conventional unit and a system node, branch, load, and active network loss correlation matrix calculation model to solve the average impact factor of wind power injection on other nodes and branches, thereby determining the uncertain characteristics of carbon emission flow in power systems under stochastic and intermittent wind power injection. The correctness and effectiveness of the method are proved by analyzing the IEEE 14-node standard example, providing new theoretical support and ideas for quantitatively evaluating the low-carbon contribution of wind power generation to the system.