Impact Assessment of Weather Conditions on Running Performance and Injury Probability: An Integrated Analysis

This study examines the multifaceted relationship between weather conditions, runners' performance, and injury probability. We conducted a comprehensive analysis that encompassed various running events and competitions, considering meteorological data sources and a substantial number of athletes. The research was divided into two primary domains: performance assessment and injury probability. In the performance assessment section, our findings emphasize the substantial impact of weather conditions, specifically focusing on wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) classifications. We employed machine learning decision trees and regression analyses to illustrate the intricate relationship between weather parameters such as temperature and humidity and runners' performance. Results underscore the significance of considering multiple weather parameters for performance evaluation, providing insights into optimal conditions for peak performance. In the injury probability section, we discuss the challenges runners face when dealing with heat stress during training and competition. We delve into the physiological responses of the body to heat stress, highlighting how prolonged exposure to heat and high humidity can lead to cardiovascular and thermal strain, resulting in a progressive decline in running performance. We also offer practical guidelines for runners to mitigate the risk of exertional heat illness and injury, stressing the importance of heat acclimatization, appropriate clothing, and proper hydration. In conclusion, this research underscores the complex interplay between weather conditions, performance, and injury risk for runners. It emphasizes the importance of preparation, adaptation, and informed decision-making to optimize performance and safety. This study has significant implications for runners, coaches, and event organizers, providing insights into weather-related factors that impact performance and safety. Finally, we suggest potential future research areas to further explore this relationship and advance our understanding of the dynamic interplay between runners and weather conditions.