Strategies for Soil Salinity Mapping Using Remote Sensing and Machine Learning in the Yellow River Delta

In response to the global ecological and agricultural challenges posed by coastal saline-alkali areas, this study focuses on Dongying City as a representative region, aiming to develop a high-precision soil salinity prediction mapping method that integrates multi-source remote sensing data with machine learning techniques. Utilizing the SCORPAN model framework, we systematically combined diverse remote sensing datasets and innovatively established nine distinct strategies for soil salinity prediction. We employed four machine learning models—Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Geographical Gaussian Process Regression (GGPR) for modeling, prediction, and accuracy comparison, with the objective of achieving high-precision salinity mapping under complex vegetation cover conditions. The results reveal that among the models evaluated across the nine strategies, the SVR model demonstrated the highest accuracy, followed by RF. Notably, under Strategy IX, the SVR model achieved the best predictive performance, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.62 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.38 g/kg. Analysis based on SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values and feature importance indicated that Vegetation Type Factors contributed significantly and consistently to the model’s performance, maintaining higher importance than traditional salinity indices and playing a dominant role. In summary, this research successfully developed a comprehensive, high-resolution soil salinity mapping framework for the Dongying region by integrating multi-source remote sensing data and employing diverse predictive strategies alongside machine learning models. The findings highlight the potential of Vegetation Type Factors to enhance large-scale soil salinity monitoring, providing robust scientific evidence and technical support for sustainable land resource management, agricultural optimization, ecological protection, efficient water resource utilization, and policy formulation.