Growth and instability in area, production, productivity and export of guava in India

Guava (Psidium guajava L.), is an important fruit crop in the country and its global demand is increasing significantly over the past few years. The top guava producing states in India are Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Punjab, Bihar and Maharashtra. This paper highlights the growth and instability in area, production, productivity and export of guava in India. The data regarding area, production and productivity of guava in India was collected from 2004-05 to 2023-24 which includes 20 years data. The data for export quantity and value of guava from India was collected for the period from 2004-05 to 2023-24, for the purpose of comparison, the period of study was divided into different periods: Period-I: 2004-05 to 2013-14 Period-II: 2014-15 to2023-24 Overall Period: 2004-05 to 2023-24. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) revealed that production has the highest growth rate at 6.66%, followed by area at 4.23% and productivity at 2.56% and are significant at the 1% level. During the second period of the study the CAGR observed were 23.31% for export quantity and 25.60% for value, both are statistically significant at the 1% level. The Cuddy-Della Valle Index (CDVI) of the area, production, and productivity obtained were 5.81%, 7.23%, and 7.65%, respectively and they indicate low instability. In terms of export quantity and value of guava from India, CV and CDVI values indicated high instability during the study period.