Protocol to study the role of alcohol consumption and alcohol control policy for economic development and health in membership countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) 2000–2023: A modelling study

Introduction Economic development leads to higher life expectancy, and in most countries is also associated with a higher level of alcohol consumption, as more people start to consume alcohol. As alcohol consumption is a major risk factor for many diseases, this reduces life expectancy, and in turn slows down economic development. However, alcohol control policies may reduce consumption and mitigate the detrimental effects of alcohol use on life expectancy and the economy. The objectives of this study are to quantify the interrelations between alcohol control policies, levels and patterns of consumption, life expectancy, and economic development for the ASEAN countries between 2000 and today. Methods and analysis Secondary data analysis of available data, using a cross-sectionally correlated and time-wise autoregressive model for the main conceptual model. In addition, the detrimental effects of alcohol consumption on economic development are estimated directly and indirectly via its effect on health indicators. Ethics and dissemination As a secondary analysis of publicly available data, this study did not require approval of a research ethics board. Its results will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publications, webinars and other forms available to decision-makers. Strengths and limitations of this study Selection of a region (ASEAN countries) which experienced high growth of economic wealth as measured by increases in per capita gross domestic product in purchasing power parity. Standardized comparable data from international agencies (World Bank, World Health Organization) Strong conceptual model Sufficient data points to conduct the cross-sectionally correlated and time-wise autoregressive model Potential practical implications on health policy.