How do activity-end trip characteristics affect the choice for shared micromobility? A latent class choice modelling approach for train station egress trips in the Netherlands

Access/egress travel to train stations poses a significant barrier to increasing the number of train travellers. The last mile is challenging for travellers, given the lack of private modes to reach the destination, strongly limiting the egress range from the station. An often-cited solution is shared micromobility (SMM): bicycles, e-bikes, e-scooters and e-mopeds. Through a stated preference survey, we analyse activity-end mode-choice preferences for SMM, walking and public transport (PT) among the Dutch population. Using a latent class choice model, we uncover three user groups: Multimodal SMM enthusiast (58%), who choose based on the trade-offs between various travel characteristics, while not having strong modal preferences. They are the most open, ready and able to use SMM. SMM hesitant cyclists (16%) have a strong preference for cycling and while they are open to using SMM, they may not feel themselves ready, stating that use of SMM can be difficult and dangerous. SMM-averse PT users (27%) are most likely to use PT and avoid SMM as they find it too difficult and dangerous to use. For policymakers, the high preference to walking over short egress distances reaffirms the need for continued focus on transit-oriented development. For longer distances, policymakers should focus on improving PT service in high-density high-demand areas, as high frequencies and dense PT networks can be justified, while stations in low-demand areas are better served by SMM. Policymakers should also prioritise SMM modes that are cheaper and that travellers are familiar and comfortable with, such as bicycles.