Gazing into the oracle : the Delphi method and its application to social policy and public health

Part 1. Theory and Methods. 1. The Delphi Method and its Contribution to Decision-Making, Erio Ziglio. 2. Theoretical, Methodological and Practical Issues Arising out of the Delphi Method, Armando Rotondi and David Gustafson. 3. Computer-Based Delphi Processes, Murray Turoff and Starr Roxanne Hiltz. Part 2. Applications. 4. A Comprehensive Study of the Ethical, Legal and Social Implications of Advances in Biochemical and Behavioural Research and Technology, Peter Goldschmidt. 5. The Use of the Delphi Method in Construdcting Scenarios on the Future of Mental Health and Mental Health Care, Rob Bijl. 6. Delphi Techniques and Planning of Social Services: The Prevention of Dependency Among the Old, Giovanni Bertin. 7. Alternative Approaches to the Computerisation of Social Security: Reflections on a Delphi Exercise, Michael Adler and Roy Sainsbury. 8. The Use of the Delphi Method in Forecasting Accidents in the Year 2000, Ed van Beeck. 9. Delphi Esitamates on Clients' Perceptions of Family Planning Services, Mauro Niero and Alex Robertson. 10. Concluding Remarks, Michael Adler and Erio Ziglio. List of Contributors. Subject Index. Author Index.