Public health dynamics in the Republic of Uzbekistan is the basis for the healthcare and health workforce development

The levels and trends of population health indicators are key factors in the development of the health care system and health workforce. Objective. To implement a detailed analysis of the main indicators of the health of the population of the Republic of Uzbekistan and its regions for the period 2000-2023, and forecast for 2050, as the basis for the future assessment of productive directions for the healthcare system development and human resources for health. Materials and methods. The study was based on statistical data from the Agency of Statistics under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the Ministry of Health of the Republic of Uzbekistan, International Organization for Migration of the United Nations, World Health Organization, and Global Burden of Disease project. Results. An overall positive long-term trend in indicators of the population’s health was detected, with significant differences across regions of the country. The population of the Republic of Uzbekistan increased from 6.2 to 36.8 million between 1950 and 2023, and is projected to reach 50.8 million by 2050. The main factor is natural increase, driven by high fertility and relatively low mortality rates. The mean age of the population may increase to 35 years by 2050, by average forecast. Conclusion. Projected changes in the population’s health status require significant increase in public and private investments in the Republic of Uzbekistan’s health care system, primarily to ensure adequate human resources for health.