The Impact of Climate Change and Glacier Degradation on the Water Regime in the High-Mountain Part of the Terek River Basin

A set of hydrometeorological models, has been used to assess the likely changes in Terek River runoff in the 21st century, taking into account climate and glaciation changes in the basin. It has been shown that runoff changes will range from –2 to +5% under the RCP 2.6 scenario and from –8 to +14% under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The direction of runoff changes in the sub-basins depends significantly on the elevation of the snow- and glacier-fed zone.