The American Association of Veterinary Medical Colleges Applicant Pool: Analysis of Critical Undergraduate Enrollment Trends

Substantial expansion of enrollment in US veterinary medical educational programs is well underway. Meanwhile, important downward trends have been reported in high school and undergraduate student enrollments nationally, raising the critical question of potential concurrent downward trends in the size of the US veterinary medical applicant pool and the related applicant-to-seat ratio. This study was designed to analyze the total number of applicants to US colleges/schools of veterinary medicine longitudinally and to consider potential relationships to ongoing national undergraduate student enrollment trends. Historical data on the veterinary medical applicant pool and the number of first-year seats available were obtained from the American Association of Veterinary Medical Colleges. Undergraduate enrollment data, both historical and projected, were obtained from the US Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. Regression analyses revealed a negative relationship between these two variables, which is counterintuitive. Based on these findings, projections of the applicant pool were performed using the simple ratio of undergraduate student enrollment to veterinary medical applicants in recent years. These projections were combined with information currently available on the expansion of veterinary medical educational programs to consider potential trends in applicant-to-seat ratios. Results suggest an upcoming softening of the applicant-to-seat ratio. This information will be useful for veterinary medical enrollment management planning-including formulation of proactive and progressive recruitment strategies-going forward.