Stroke burden in the Philippines (1990–2023): Temporal trends and risk factors from the GBD study

Abstract Background Stroke is a leading cause of mortality and disability globally. However, information about stroke burden in the Philippines is limited. We sought to analyze stroke burden in the Philippines from 1990 to 2023. Methods Incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 data were used as indicators to analyze the burden of stroke by sex and age. Temporal trends in both crude and age-standardized rates were analyzed using joinpoint regression analysis. Results In 2023, stroke incidence was estimated at 156.2 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 140.8–175.4) thousand, prevalence at 1.2 (95% UI: 1.2–1.4) million, mortality at 72.2 (95% UI: 63.2–83.0) thousand, and DALYs at 2.1 (95% UI: 1.8–2.3) million. High systolic blood pressure was the leading contributor to risk-attributable stroke mortality and DALYs. Since 1990, age-standardized rates declined significantly, whereas crude rates increased markedly. Compared with women, men had a higher fatal burden and consistently exhibited a higher age-standardized burden. Although older adults (≥ 55 years) had the highest stroke burden and achieved reductions in stroke incidence and fatal outcomes, both fatal and non-fatal burdens consistently increased among young adults (35–54 years). Conclusion While age-standardized rates have improved, the rising crude burden and shift towards younger adults present significant public health challenges. These trends highlight the pressing need for aggressive and targeted risk factor control, sustained risk monitoring, and strengthened acute and post-stroke care to mitigate the growing health burden of stroke in the Philippines.