Assessing the Impact of Forests on Wind Flow Dynamics and Wind Turbine Energy Production

Forests play a vital role in influencing wind flow by modifying turbulence intensity and vertical wind shear. Because wind turbines are susceptible to these conditions, accurately characterising wind flow in forested environments is vital to ensuring structural reliability and realistic energy-yield assessments. In Latvia, where approximately 51.3% of the territory is covered by forests; the likelihood of wind turbine deployment in such areas is considerable. However, wind behaviour within and above forests is complex and strongly influenced by canopy effects, which in turn affect wake dynamics, structural fatigue, and power production. Advancing research in this field is therefore crucial for improving the accuracy of wind resource assessment and supporting evidence-based engineering solutions that enable the sustainable development of wind energy. Wind conditions were evaluated using NORA3 reanalysis data. Wake effects were simulated with the Jensen wake model to estimate annual energy production (AEP), which then informed levelised cost of energy (LCOE) calculations at various hub heights. The results indicate clear seasonal variability and show that increasing hub height leads to higher AEP and lower LCOE, owing to higher wind speeds and reduced turbulence. For forest heights of 0–25 m, the AEP loss increases from 7.8% (hub height = 199 m) to 22.9% (hub height = 114 m). Higher hub heights are also less sensitive to canopy-induced variability, reducing the impact of forest-related turbulence on energy production.