European Biogenic Volatile Organic Compound Emissions Based on Land Surface Modelling and Satellite Data Assimilation

Biogenic volatile organic compound (BVOC) emissions from European vegetation are a major precursor of tropospheric ozone and remain a key uncertainty in regional air-quality modelling. We present two high-resolution (0.1° × 0.1°) European BVOC emission datasets developed within the EU SEEDS project aimed at supporting scientific development within Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS). The datasets include BVOC species consistent with the RACM chemical mechanism and are generated by coupling the SURFEX land surface model with the MEGAN3.0 emission model.Emissions based on two land surface model simulations were analysed: (i) an open-loop SURFEX simulation available for 2018–2022, and (ii) a data-assimilation simulation in which satellite leaf area index (LAI) observations are assimilated, available for 2018–2020. In both cases, SURFEX is configured to allow vegetation phenological responses to meteorological variability, enabling a realistic representation of phenology. Evaluation against independent datasets shows that both simulations capture temporal variability in LAI and root-zone soil moisture, with improved skill in the analysis configuration.Given its importance for atmospheric chemistry, we focus on isoprene emissions. Interannual and seasonal variability in isoprene emissions is shown to be primarily driven by LAI variability, with specific events (e.g. summer 2019) linked to drought-induced vegetation stress simulated by SURFEX. Daily variability in isoprene emissions is evaluated against in-situ online isoprene concentration measurements at eight western European sites, revealing moderate to strong correlations across most site-year combinations. Comparisons with other bottom-up European isoprene inventories show that SURFEX-MEGAN3.0 emissions lie between the lower CAMS-GLOB-BIOv3.1 and higher MEGAN-MACC estimates, with differences in seasonality attributable largely to the underlying LAI datasets.These results highlight the important role of vegetation phenology, particularly LAI variability, in controlling BVOC emissions on monthly to interannual timescales, and demonstrate the added value of an Earth-system approach for BVOC emission modelling in support of air-quality assessments.ReferencesHamer, . D., Markelj, M., Rojas-Munoz, O., Bonan, B., Calvet, J.-C., Marécal, V., Guenther, A., Trimmel, H., Vallejo, I., Eckhardt, S., Sousa Santos, G., Sindelarova, K., Simpson, D., Schmidbauer, N., and Tarrasón, L.: Two Biogenic Volatile Organic Compound Emission Datasets over Europe Based on Land Surface Modelling and Satellite Data Assimilation, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss. [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-442, in review, 2025.