Observed Trends in Aviation-Related Weather Hazards at Major Italian Airports Under Changing Climate Conditions

Climate change (CC) is widely recognized as a major human concern, affecting society across all aspects and activities. Among various economic sectors, aviation is one of the most affected due to its exposure to adverse weather events. Consequently, adaptation and mitigation actions are becoming increasingly important to reduce the negative effects of CC-driven extreme weather events on aviation operations. In this study, we analyzed 30 years of historical aerodrome meteorological routine reports (METARs) from several major Italian airports to assess multi-decadal changes in aviation weather-related hazards, based on observational evidence such as convection, visibility, and snow and freezing precipitation. Furthermore, we examined the ERA5 reanalysis dataset to assess potential anomalies in the synoptic circulation over the Euro-Mediterranean region that may drive fluctuations in local airport climatology. Our results reveal relevant trends for the considered aviation-related weather hazards, while also indicating meaningful links to variations in local and synoptic patterns. The observed increases in 500 hPa geopotential height, 850 hPa temperature, and convective available potential energy (CAPE) lead to changes in the climatology of the airports considered, including a general enhancement of thermoconvective phenomena, a reduction in events associated with synoptic-scale disturbances, an overall decrease in snowfall, and contrasting trends in fog occurrence depending on local factors.