Competitiveness of the strongest gymnasts in floor exercises in the new Olympic cycle compared to the finalists of the XXXIII Olympic Games in Paris

The purpose of the study – determination of the competitiveness of female gymnasts on floor exercises based on comparison with the finalists’ results of the 2024 Olympic Games and the 2025 World Championships. Research methods and organization. The study of official documents of international organizations FIG, IOC, CAS, USA Gymnastics regarding the inquiry against the return of J. Chiles won the Olympic bronze medal on floor exercises. An analysis of the 2025 continental championships results on this event, held on the eve of the World Championships. Expert evaluation of the results and programs of female gymnasts on floor exercises at the 2024 Games and 2025 World Championships finals. The content of the exercises, their difficulty and the most difficult elements in the programs of these tournaments` finalists were compared. Statistical processing of the results was carried out using the criteria of White and Van der Waerden. Research results and conclusions. It was determined that the level of execution skills of the finalists (E score) on floor exercises of the 2025 World Championships is inferior to the finalists of the 2024 Olympics, although the difficulty of the programs (D score) for all candidates for medals is 5,8 – 5,9. The exception is the difficulty of the S. Biles program (6,9), which no gymnast can approach yet. The competitiveness of the world’s strongest female gymnasts at the beginning of the Olympic cycle will be determined not only by the difficulty of the elements, but also by the presence of connections that give bonuses. Artistry will make a big contribution to the final score. A predictive model of the content of floor exercises of the 2028 Olympics potential champion with D score = 7,7 points, which S. Biles cannot yet achieve, has been presented. Russian female gymnasts failed to qualify for the finals of the 2025 World Championships on floor exercises. They proved to be not competitive in difficulty of program and did not surpass foreign female gymnasts in execution.