Complementary evidence from historical and contemporary gene dispersal reveals contrasting population dynamics in a tropical tree species

Abstract Gene flow shapes the demographic stability and evolutionary potential of tropical forest trees, yet its dynamics may differ depending on the temporal scale at which it is assessed. We combined spatial genetic structure (SGS), parentage analyses, and reproductive success metrics to investigate historical and contemporary gene dispersal in four populations of Dicorynia guianensis across French Guiana, encompassing sites differing in environment and management history. A total of 1,528 individuals were genotyped using 66 nuclear and 23 plastid microsatellite markers, enabling high-resolution inference of biparental and maternal gene dispersal. Historical mating and dispersal parameters inferred from SGS revealed marked contrasts among populations. Some populations exhibited high historical gene dispersal distances and weak spatial genetic structure, whereas others showed stronger SGS and long-term aggregative dispersal patterns. Contemporary parentage analyses further highlighted differences in seed and pollen dispersal distances, parent assignment rates, and reproductive skew. In certain populations, pronounced reproductive inequality and reduced effective connectivity were observed, while others displayed more balanced reproductive contributions. By jointly evaluating long-term dispersal legacies and present-day reproductive patterns, our study demonstrates the value of combining indirect and direct genetic approaches to assess population dynamics and conservation status in tropical forest trees. This multi-temporal perspective provides a comprehensive basis for long-term monitoring and sustainable management in heterogeneous tropical landscapes.