Method for Substantiating Еxternal (International) Military and Еconomic Conditions of the Construction and Development within the Armed Forces

The article substantiates the method of multicriteria assessment of the external (international) military and economic conditions for the construction and development of the Armed Forces of Ukraine under the conditions of increased uncertainty. The relevance of the research is determined by the growing role of international economic, military and technical, and political factors in shaping the defence capability of the state, as well as by the limitations of traditional approaches to their assessment, which insufficiently take into account the vagueness and inconsistency of expert information. The aim of the work is to develop a scientifically substantiated method that enables the comparative analysis and ranking of the military-economic conditions for the development of the armed forces on the basis of a system of coordinated criteria. The study uses the methods of analysis and synthesis, formalisation, expert assessment, as well as the tools of multicriteria analysis with elements of fuzzy logic. The proposed method provides for the formation of a matrix of expert assessments in the form of three-component fuzzy numbers, the determination of criteria weights, the construction of positive and negative benchmarks, and the calculation of an integral proximity index for each alternative. As a result, a ranked list of external military-economic conditions has been formed, which makes it possible to substantiate their priority for the strategic planning and development of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The practical value of the work lies in the possibility of using the proposed method as a decision-support tool in the sphere of national security and defence construction.