Evaluation of protein–RNA Docking Web Servers for Template-Free Docking and Comparison with the AlphaFold Server

Protein-RNA docking is a valuable tool for predicting the structures of protein-RNA complexes, which allow us to understand the structural basis for gene expression and regulation, thus facilitating drug development. Despite the development of several protein-RNA docking programs, the field remains relatively underdeveloped compared to protein-protein docking, and a systematic comparison of these programs in terms of accuracy and efficiency is still lacking. Recent advances in deep learning-based structure prediction, such as AlphaFold 3, offer a promising alternative for modeling protein-RNA complexes. Here, we have compiled a consolidated benchmark data set of 235 protein-RNA complexes (freely available at https://github.com/tanys-group/protein-rna-docking-benchmark), which were curated from PDB structures deposited up to July 2024, to assess the performance of five template-free docking web servers and the AlphaFold Server. Among the docking web servers, HDOCK performed the best, achieving success rates of 31.1% and 44.7% within the top 1 and top 5 predictions, respectively, as assessed by CAPRI (Critical Assessment of PRedicted Interactions) metrics. Although AlphaFold 3 outperformed all the docking web servers with an overall success rate of 87.0% in its top 5 predictions, it failed in nine cases where docking approaches succeeded and showed a markedly lower success rate of 40% for protein-RNA complexes outside its training set, comparable to that of HDOCK (35%). Our study provides valuable insights into the strengths and limitations of current protein-RNA docking servers and AlphaFold 3, offering practical guidance for selecting the appropriate tool for protein-RNA complex structure prediction. These results also suggest that hybrid approaches combining physics-based and machine learning methods hold significant promise for achieving higher prediction accuracy.