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Accurate and physically consistent state prediction is essential for shipboard power systems (SPS) operating under dynamic conditions. However, purely data-driven models often exhibit degraded robustness and physically inconsistent outputs when exposed to transient disturbances or limited data coverage. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a physics-constrained hybrid prediction model that integrates a convolutional neural network–bidirectional long short-term memory (CNN–BiLSTM) architecture with wide residual connections (WRC) and a physics-constrained loss (PCL). The proposed modeling approach combines real operational measurement data with high-resolution simulation data to enhance data diversity and improve generalization capability. The CNN–BiLSTM structure captures nonlinear temporal dependencies, while the WRC preserves critical low-level transient electrical features during deep temporal modeling. In addition, multiple physical constraints, including power balance, voltage conversion relationships, and battery state-of-charge (SOC) dynamics, are incorporated into the training process to enforce physically consistent predictions. The model is validated using charging and discharging experiments on a laboratory-scale SPS under both steady-state and transient conditions. Comparative results demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves higher prediction accuracy, improved dynamic stability, and faster recovery following disturbances compared with conventional data-driven models. These results indicate that physics-constrained deep learning provides an effective and interpretable modeling framework for SPS state prediction, supporting digital twin-oriented monitoring and real-time prediction applications.
Published in: Modelling—International Open Access Journal of Modelling in Engineering Science
Volume 7, Issue 2, pp. 65-65