Probabilistic Orchestrator for Indeterministic Multi-Agent Systems in Real-Time Environments

Multi-agent perception systems must operate under fundamental asymmetries: some agents provide fast but unreliable observations, while others deliver higher-quality evidence with delay and uncertain correspondence. Traditional deterministic orchestration and rule-based fusion struggle to manage these trade-offs, often producing brittle or unstable behavior. We introduce a probabilistic orchestration framework that treats coordination as an epistemic generation problem—constructing and updating belief states under uncertainty—rather than a selection problem. Instead of committing to a single agent’s output, the orchestrator constructs a belief state that explicitly represents uncertainty, evidential provenance, and temporal relevance. Decisions are produced through latency-aware, association-weighted fusion, and uncertainty itself becomes a first-class signal governing action, deferral, and learning. Crucially, the orchestrator enables controlled teacher–student adaptation: high-confidence, well-associated stationary observations are gated into a feedback loop that improves ego perception over time while mitigating error amplification. We demonstrate the approach on an infrastructure-assisted dual-camera obstacle-recognition task. Experimental results show improved robustness to distance, occlusion, and delayed evidence compared to ego-only and deterministic orchestration baselines. By operationalizing orchestration as epistemic generation, this work provides a unifying framework for robust decision-making and safe adaptation in multi-agent systems, with implications that extend beyond perception to agentic and generative AI architectures.